Models project COVID-19 cases may spike in May, before sharply declining by July

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Models project COVID-19 cases may spike in May, before sharply declining by July

COVID-19 cases are projected to surge across the United States and peak in May if we see decreases in physical distancing and mask-wearing and increased transmissibility of new variants, according to new model projections. Conducted by a team of researchers in collaboration with the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), the models also project a sharp decline in cases by July 2021, especially in locations with high vaccination uptake.

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